
For where
the threatening Soviet East once united us, the Middle East divides
us. We are now repeating, on a larger scale, the mistake we made in
the Balkans for most of the 1990s: Western states that don't have fundamentally
different interests in a region nonetheless pursue different policies
there.
Or can you explain to me how the vital interests of France, Germany
or Britain in the Middle East differ from those of the US? Remember
that several of the al-Qaeda terrorists who struck on September 11 started
out in Hamburg. The Arab and Muslim world is where the "war against
terrorism" will be won or lost.
Americans and Europeans have an overwhelming common interest in seeing
democracy, peace and prosperity spread through the Middle East - not
least, so that Israel is one day physically connected to the West by
a patchwork of Islamic or post-Islamic democracies.
This means handing back Iraq as soon as possible to the Iraqis and supporting
their federal or confederal democracy. Then, and urgently, it means
trying to make progress toward secure, viable states of both Israel
and Palestine.
One unintended consequence of the war on Iraq is that this can no longer
wait. The Palestinian question is now, for the Arab and Muslim world
- and for many Europeans - the litmus test of whether the Bush Administration
means what it says about liberating and democratising the Middle East
rather than occupying and colonising it.
A genuine project of democratisation also involves helping to make Iraq's
neighbour Turkey worthy of membership in the European Union. In countries
such as Iran and Saudi Arabia, it means supporting reform, and perhaps
ultimately what I have called refolution, that is, the mixture of reform
from above and people's power from below that triumphed in Poland and
Hungary in 1989.
In all these places, we need to listen to the people in the countries
concerned, as we did in central and eastern Europe during the Cold War.
Now those Poles, Hungarians and Czechs whom we helped to liberate are
themselves fully part of the West and ready to join us in doing for
and with the oppressed of the Middle East what was once done for and
with them.
At the moment, Europeans and Americans don't even see the threat the
same way. During the Cold War, Berlin always felt itself to be more
directly threatened than New York; now it's the other way round. I have
no doubt that the collapse of the twin towers on September 11, 2001,
was the true beginning of the 21st century.
The combination of weapons of mass destruction and terrorism, whether
by rogue states or rogue groups, is one of the greatest new dangers
to all free countries. Americans have woken up - been woken up - to
this in a way that most Europeans have not. Europe has not yet had its
September 11.
There is both hypocrisy and an ostrich-like head-in-the-sand quality
about much European discussion, or non-discussion, of these issues.
Criticising America, Europeans sometimes are, as Kipling famously put
it, "makin' mock o' uniforms that guard you while you sleep".
The American-led war on Iraq has not helped to make Muslims, especially
Arab Muslims, feel welcome in the West. Sensitivity to the wider impact
of what will be seen as an Anglo-American neo-colonial occupation of
an Arab land is not cowardice; it is a necessary weapon in the long-term
war against terrorism.
Europeans also tend to have a different analysis of the threat, one
that pays more attention to the political causes of Islamist terror
and, in particular, to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Palestine is the great symbolic cause of the Arab-Muslim world, repeatedly
embraced by Osama bin Laden, Saddam Hussein, the whole Arab League and
the "Arab street" - hypocritically, perhaps, but nonetheless
effectively.
Many Europeans feel that giving the Palestinians a viable state could
be a bigger contribution to winning the war against terrorism than deposing
Saddam Hussein.
We Europeans,
for our part, are worried by a tendency among conservative US Republicans
to celebrate and to exaggerate American power. In particular, they exaggerate
America's capacity to deploy that power effectively outside existing alliances
and international institutions. This hyperpower unilateralism seems to
us a real departure from the post-1945 tradition of American foreign policy.
It's yielding to the temptation that flows from finding yourself as the
sole superpower after the end of the Cold War.
Do you really believe you can win the war against terrorism by military
and police means alone? You can win the war against an established state
like Saddam Hussein's Iraq, but you can't win the peace this way. We've
been seeing that on the streets of Baghdad since Saddam's fall.
To emerge ultimately victorious in the broader "war against terrorism",
it is the peace we have to win, first in Iraq, then in the wider Middle
East.
To win the peace, we have to get the symbolism right. That unforgettable
scene when an American soldier draped the Stars and Stripes over the head
of the giant statue of Saddam, then hastily took it off, has fatally marred
the "fall of the Berlin Wall" moment at the end of this war.
The Pentagon seriously proposed that a former head of the CIA should become
information minister in the new occupation administration. It also seems
to me it would be a crass mistake not to try the Saddamite mass murderers
under international law. Don't let them plausibly accuse you of "victors'
justice". For heaven's sake, ask the United Nations to establish
a special tribunal for Iraq, as it did for Yugoslavia.
Even the US, now the most powerful country in the history of the world,
cannot manage this process on its own. Militarily, yes, but not politically.
Two Anglo-Saxon powers are not enough; adding Australia just makes it
three WASPs in a desert. Ah, you may say, but that's not all: Washington
claimed support in the Iraq war from 45 countries. Who needs France when
you have stout Micronesia at your side?
As for Europe, we are told that the US can manage just fine with a combination
of Tony Blair's Britain, Jose Maria Aznar's Spain, Silvio Berlusconi's
Italy and what Donald Rumsfeld calls "new Europe" - that is,
the new democracies of central and eastern Europe that will shortly be
joining the European Union. Now this is a serious point for the future
of the West, seriously wrong.
My old friends in the post-dissident political elites of central and eastern
Europe today are generally more pro-American than their French or German
counterparts. They are grateful to the US for its support in their struggle
for freedom; some are still worried about Russia; they believe in the
trans-Atlantic community of values, about which Vaclav Havel has spoken
so well. Their publics and some of their political successors are already
less sure.
As these countries are integrated into the European Union, they will probably
identify more with Europe. Above all, though, their message to Washington,
on the one side, and to Paris and Berlin on the other, is "Please
don't ask us to choose between you!" They are right. Let me say this
as emphatically as I can: the West will include France and Germany, or
the West will no longer exist.
It's odd that this should need restating, but France is one of the classic
lands of Western liberty, or as the French once put it themselves, liberte,
egalite and fraternite. France remains the second most important military
power in Europe, after Britain. No serious European policy can be made
without it.
During the disastrous diplomatic prelude to the Iraq war, some Americans
may have wished that Churchill had never succeeded in persuading Roosevelt
to give France a permanent seat on the UN Security Council. But Churchill
was right: the Europe we want cannot be built without France. So Washington
should not indulge in the old imperial pastime of divide and rule. A divided
Europe is not in our interest or yours.
A more united Europe and a less arrogant United States should work together
with all the peoples of the Middle East to do for them what we did with
and for the peoples of Middle Europe during the Cold War. This can be
our trans-Atlantic project for the next generation.
Here's how we put the West together again. Shall we talk about it?
Timothy Garton Ash, a follow of St Antony's College, Oxford, and the Hoover
Institution, Stanford, is writing a book about relations between America,
Britain and Europe. A longer version of this article appeared in yesterday's
New York Times Magazine.
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